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Overall Record: 51-39-6
Big Picks 26-22-4
Second-Level Picks 25-17-2
NFL
Odds - Pointspreads - NFL
Injuries - "Inside
the Numbers" Radio Report
Week 15 Picks
Scout's Big Picks
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings -8.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -11.0
Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints -3.5
Washington Redskins @ New York Giants -4.0
Detroit Lions +10.5 @ San Diego Chargers
Scout's 2nd-level Picks
Cincinnati Bengals -8.0 @ San Francisco
49ers
Seattle Seahawks -7.0 @ Carolina Panthers
Buffalo Bill +5.0 @ Cleveland Browns
Week 14 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 1-0
Arizona Cardnials @ Seattle Seahawks -6.0
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 1-2
New Orleans Saints -4.5 @ Atlanta
Falcons
Miami Dolphins +7.0 @ Buffalo Bills
Kansas City +6.0 @ Denver Broncos
Week 13 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 1-1
N.Y. Jets -1.0 @ Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills @ Washington Redskins -5.0
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 2-1
Jacksonville Jaguars + 7 @ Indianapolis
Colts
Detroit Lions +3.5 @ Minnesota Vikings
N.Y. Giants -2.5 @ Chicago Bears
Week 12 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 1-1-1
Seattle Seahawks over 43 @ St. Louis
Rams
Tennessee Titans -1.0 @ Cincinnati
Bengals
Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 3-1
N.Y. Jets @ Dallas Cowboys -14.0
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions +3.0
Seattle Seahawks -3.0 @ St. Louis
Rams
New Orleans Saints -2.5 @ Carolina Panthers
Week 11 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 3-0
Cleveland -2.5
@ Baltimore Ravens
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers -10.0
New England Patriots -14.5@Buffalo Bills
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 3-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Under 36
Miami Dolphins @ Philadelphia Eagles -9.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks -5.0
N. Y Giants -2.0
@ Detroit
Tennessee Titans +3.0
@ Denver
Week 10 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 2-3
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers -10.0
Dallas Cowboys -1.5
@ N.Y. Giants
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs -3.0
Buffalo Bills -2.5
@ Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts -3.0
@ San Diego Chargers
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 2-1
Cincinnati Bengals +4.0
@ Baltimore Ravens
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks -10.0
Detroit Lions +1.5
@ Arizona Cardinals
Week 9 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 2-2
Over 38 Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa
Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers @ Tennessee Titans -4.0
New England Patriots -5.5 @ Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills -1.0
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 2-2
Baltimore + 9 @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-3.5
Denver Broncos @ Detroit Lions -3.0
Seattle Seahawks +1.5 @ Cleveland
Browns
Week 8 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 2-1
Cleveland Browns -3 @ St. Louis Rams
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-4.0
Houston Texans @ San Diego Chargers -9.5
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 0-2
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears -5.0
Washington Redskins +16.5 @ New England
Patriots
Week 7 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 2-2
Indianapolis Colts -3 @ Jacksonville
Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions -2.0
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans -1.0
Baltimore Ravens -3.0 @ Buffalo Bills
Scout's 2nd-level Picks:1-1
Arizona Cardinals @ Washington Redskins -8.0
(*If Warner is Out)
Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 @ Denver
Broncos
Week 6 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 2-1
Philadelphia Eagles -3 @ N.Y. Jets
Tennessee Titans @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears -6.5
New York Giants -3.5 @ Atlanta Falcons
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 3-0-1
Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns -4.0
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars -5.0
Washington Redskins + 3.0 @
Green Bay Packers
Week 5 Picks
Scout's Big Picks: 2-2
Under 48 Cleveland Browns @ New
England Patriots
Atlanta Falcons +9 @ Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars @
Kansas City Chiefs +2.5
Detroit Lions @ Washington
Redskins -3.5
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 3-0
N.Y. Jets @ N.Y. Giants -3.5
Miami Dolphins + 5.5 @ Houston Texans
Chicago +3.5 @ Green Bay Packers
Week 4 Picks: 4-4-1
Scout's Big Picks: 2-2-1
Under 24 - First Half Philadelphia
Eagles @ New York Giants
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings +2
Under 39 - Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota
Vikings
Over 46 - St. Louis Rams @ Dallas
Cowboys
Pittsburgh Steelers -6 @ Arizona
Cardinals
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 2-2
Houston Texans @ Atlanta Falcons +3
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers +2
Under 41 - Oakland Raiders @ Miami
Dolphins
Over 40 - Kansas City Chiefs @
San Diego Chargers
Week 3 Picks Overall Record: 3-4
Scout's Big Picks: 2-2
N.Y. Giants @ Washington Redskins -3
Under 38 San Francisco 49ers @ Pittsburgh
Steelers
San Diego Chargers @ Green Bay Packers +
5.5
Dallas Cowboys + 3 @ Chicago Bears
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 1-2
Detroit Lions + 7 @ Philadelphia
Eagles
Indianapolis Colts - 5.5 @ Houston
Texans
Cleveland Browns @ Oakland Raiders -5.5
Week 2 Picks:
Scout's Big Picks: 2-2
Cincinnati Bengals -6 @ Cleveland
Browns
Over 42 New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay
Seattle Seahawks -3 @ Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys -4 @ Miami Dolphins
Scout's 2nd-level Picks: 1-2
San Diego Chargers + 4 @ New England
Patriots
Indianapolis Colts - 7 @ Tennessee
Titans
Green Bay Packers +1.5 @ N.Y. Giants
Week 1 Picks:
Scout's Big Picks - Record 1-1-1:
Carolina Panthers @ St. Louis Rams -1 Result:
31-19 Panthers: Loss
NY Giants @ Dallas Cowboys -6 Result: Cowboys
45-35: Win
Miami Dolphins @ Washington Redskins -3 Result:
Cowboys 16-13: Tie
Scout's 2nd-level Picks Record 2-1-1:
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans -3 Result:
Texans 20-3: Win
Denver Broncos -3.5 @ Buffalo Bills
Result: Broncos 15-14: Loss
Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 @ Cleveland
Browns Result: Texans 34-7: Win
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers -3
Result: Texans 20-17: Tie
Football Betting Strategies
1. Get to know your teams
Study the teams, learn their strengths and weaknesses, know
their home and road records, and evaluate them objectively.
Pay attention to changes in the quality of a team from one season
to the next as players get older and changes occur in personnel
and coaching staffs. Salary caps and free agency make it more
difficult for teams to stay at the top for long periods of time,
so major improvement or decline from season to season is commonplace
in professional sports.
2. Bet on motivated teams
Sometimes a team doesn't play up to its potential, but at other
times may play well above what is indicated by their overall
record - especially in critical games. Determine how important
a game is to a team. If the team has already clinched a playoff
spot, they may be more focused on the post-season than the present
game. Conversely, a team facing a must-win situation to make
the playoffs may be highly motivated. A team out to avenge a
defeat earlier in the season may also be very motivated.
3. Don't chase your losses
When you do run into the inevitable losing streak, don't panic
and make the common mistake of betting larger amounts in an
attempt to recoup your losses. Instead, examine your handicapping
methods and reduce your betting amounts until you start winning
again. Remember - chasing your losses is the single biggest
mistake a gambler can make. Once you start winning again, increase
your bets slightly, but don't go overboard. Unfortunately, like
losing streaks, winning streaks also come to an end.
4. Bet with your head, not your heart
Make an honest assessment of a team's chances, not one based
on emotions. Don't bet on a team simply because it's your favorite
without considering the real odds. Be selective and remember
that you will only find value betting situations in a small
number of games. Betting the entire NCAA or NFL schedule every
week is a risky proposition at best.
5. Value betting - find low risk high reward action
Successful football betting requires getting value on your
bets. Basically this means getting better than the "true"
odds on your picks. For instance, if your objective prediction
for a game suggests that the Raiders should be receiving 5 points
but are in fact receiving 8, then this is a value-betting proposition.
In this case, the risk to reward ratio is very much in your
favor, making Oakland a strong play.
6. Bet against public opinion
Certain teams always have a strong public following. For years,
the Dallas Cowboys were one such team, having captured the public's
admiration during the Aikman-Irvin years. High-value bets can
often be found by betting against these teams because the odds
makers adjust the line to reflect the expected amount of public
money. Thus, the underdog is often listed with better odds or
a larger point spread than they realistically deserve.
7. Stay abreast of injuries
Watch the injuries, but don't overreact to them. Judge the
importance of an injured player and the quality of his back
up. Remember that second-string players are often highly qualified
and are especially motivated when replacing a starter, so it
often pays to bet on a team missing its best player. The public
normally overreacts to injuries so you may find good value in
this situation. However, beware of situations where there is
more than one injured stud or there is an injury to the team's
captain or inspirational leader.
8. Keep accurate records
Accurate records of your wagering activity are essential for
increasing your winning percentage. For example, do you tend
to bet your home team or your favorite team?
9. Don't bet just for the sake of betting
There is no shame in passing up a bet. Remember that there
are sports betting opportunities almost every day of the year.
Don't bet simply for the sake of gambling - be patient and wait
for good value betting opportunities.
10. Practice smart money management
Good money management is just as important as picking winners.
Increase your betting amount only when showing an overall profit
and reduce your betting amount when you are losing. Try to set
a maximum percentage of your betting capital that will be placed
on any one bet in order to minimize your exposure. Many professional
handicappers suggest that no more than five percent of your
wagering capital be at risk on any one bet, no matter how strongly
you feel about the game.
Most players start the season with absolutely no clue as to
how much capital it takes to withstand the ups and downs of
a typical football season. You should give yourself enough money
to have a chance all year. Sports betting is nearly always full
of streaks. Even with great handicapping, you're still going
to lose 40 percent of your bets, so be prepared.
Here is the important part. Never risk more than 25 percent
to 30 percent of your bankroll on any week. In other words,
if you like 5 pro games you will bet 6 percent of your bankroll
on each game. On the best plays you will bet 8 percent and maybe
2 to 3 times a year you will find a game that's worth 10 percent
of your bankroll. If you love a lot of action, simply drop your
bet size (2 percent to 3 percent), but never risk more than
33 percent of your bankroll in one day. If you win one week,
your bankroll is larger so you'll automatically increase your
bets as you win and conversely decrease your bets as you lose.
The purpose of the reserve is to recapitalize one of your bankrolls
if the season starts out cold and you hit an early losing streak.
In a typical year you should be cautious weeks 1 - 4, be bold
weeks 5 - 12, and then revert to caution until the play-offs
and bowl games.
This is a simple money management scheme and there are more
sophisticated methods of money management available, but for
most people this method should work just fine. We keep track
of our hypothetical bankrolls using this method.
*Provided by BetUS
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